Summary
- Russia’s security engagements in Africa have evolved since the death of Wagner Group founder Yevgeny Prigozhin.
- Despite reports of a reduced presence, the Kremlin continues to deploy military force and information operations to shape regional politics.
- Since 2023, Moscow has taken tighter control, with Kremlin-linked figures, state agencies and federal funding driving these efforts.
- Russian activities reflect the Kremlin’s top foreign policy priorities but are constrained by competing demands, especially the war in Ukraine.
- The success of Russia’s presence depends on how its security offer is perceived, making blowback a possible risk.
